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26/10: Round 3! - A mentally challenging Saturday +8.1pts

Oh wow! what a start to Round 3


Whilst I finished the trading day with +8.1 points, it was seriously hard work in the markets. I had a decent start in the earlier first half games a


See some of the first half wins below


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I then got absolutely battered in the 3PM games (first half), coming from 2 pts up to -0.6 pt loss


MIND GAMES IN FOOTBALL TRADING


This is where the mind games started. "Why isn't this working?" "Am I doing something wrong etc...?" Why didn't I stop earlier etc..? "This is a complete waste of my Saturday and time!"


I took a break and came back to closely study some of the second half data using Goal Profits, my main research tool. I then patiently waited for my usual entry times late in game for my picks (I only go in if there hasn't been a second half goal). I also added an extra layer of filters using team attacking power stats. I know the second half odds aren't as great but that's because the probability of a second half late goal is higher than in the first half - so of course the efficient Betfair odds reflect that.


The mental effort to stick the plan paid off! I managed to grab some screenshots of some of the big wins and late goals today that got us over the line (including double jackpot at York City - thank you my Yorkshire peeps!)


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P&L for the day showing 8.1 Pts


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Note on staking: I have moved £8 stakes (50% per market). I was meant to move to £7 but because I am using the betfair interface to enter my stakes at the moment, the .5 is a pain to type as I am a high volume trader.

I will get setup on the right software when I get back from the half term break in November


Round 2 so far:


  • 40 trades

  • +8.1 pts


HOLIDAY TIME:


I am travelling next week for half term, taking a break from my day job and also trading (perfectly timed and will be a great reset, and away from the markets)


So next blog will be Friday / Saturday - first week in November


See ya then!


 
 
 

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Trade Carefully is blog that focusses on using data-driven approaches to build the right mindset to have any chance of success long term. Sports Trading is an extremely difficult path to follow. It requires strict discipline, patience, and can result in losses.  

 

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