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A profitable Thursday? Who would have thought! +2.3Pts

Ah. So we put to bed the superstitions about Thursday football trading being a bad idea for the bank!


In fact, I hesitated on a couple of solid opportunities after yesterday's battering, both of which got goals straight after and cost me an additional 2PT profit.


That said, a comfortable in the market for my first half trading. 2x big wins brought home the bacon, so to speak


After this round, there is a good chance I may eliminate second half late goal trading as I am struggling to find value and my P&L shows almost 95% of the profits so far are from the first half. Even the prices I get in the last 15 minutes of a match are remarkably worse than in the first half. Of course, historical data shows the SR is abit higher for late goals but I am not that convinced anymore. Besides, late goals in the second half are were many traders ply their trade so I suspect the value is really hard to find.


That aside, below is the P&L for today. The £17 profit was from a double jackpot win - hadn't had one since last Saturday I think. Impossible to predict when the big wins turn up, but they seem to show up at least once a week (of course, one still has to find them and not blindly smash the markets)


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Current Status for round 2 (which started 18th October 2024):


  • 175 trades

  • +6.3 points


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I will be away for half term holidays most of next week . But as it stands, we will almost certainly complete Round 2 on or before this Saturday 26th October

 
 
 

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Trade Carefully is blog that focusses on using data-driven approaches to build the right mindset to have any chance of success long term. Sports Trading is an extremely difficult path to follow. It requires strict discipline, patience, and can result in losses.  

 

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