Our Framework
What can 49,172 market observations based on actual trades in the market teach us?
We started with a broad hypothesis. The data told us it lost money.
So we didn't throw the research away. We went deeper.
The Results?
Over 49,172 observations we were down −1,350.02 units
Over 2,100 refined bets, we were up +466.54 units
The relationship between those two datasets is the research.
Explore the data, the failures, the refinement process and the live implementation behind Trade Carefully.
Trading taught me the hard way. Data changed how I approached it.
I've spent nearly a decade trying strategies, making mistakes, enduring drawdowns and learning just how difficult sports trading really is.
The biggest change wasn't finding another strategy.
It was learning to trust evidence over emotion.
Data taught me when to question an idea, when to refine it — and sometimes, when to simply do nothing and survive the variance.
Automation helps me execute consistently and collect data at scale.
But automation is an enabler. It isn't the solution.
Trade Carefully is about the principles underneath it all — whether you trade manually or automatically.
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