The Dog Pound Results

Live Results So Far

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📊 Performance Snapshot (Mar 2025 – Jan 2026)

With data now running from March 2025 through to January 2026, the strategy stands at:

• 1,570+ live bets

• +528.58 units profit (after commission)

• ~33.7% ROI after commission

• Average odds ~12.5

• Worst drawdown ~60 units

• No structural breakdown

These figures reflect long-term live behaviour rather than short-term fluctuations.

📈 Monthly Performance

Monthly results are shared for transparency only.
They should not be viewed in isolation due to natural variance in higher-odds strategies.

• March 2025: +198.64 units (131 bets)

• April 2025: +59.06 units (157 bets)

• May 2025: +7.21 units (180 bets)

• June 2025: +134.55 units (177 bets)

• July 2025: +27.77 units (131 bets)

• August 2025: +63.95 units (182 bets)

• September 2025: +28.34 units (170 bets)

• October 2025: −3.61 units (183 bets)

• November 2025: +1.63 units (44 bets)*

• December 2025: +14.80 units (151 bets)

• January 2026: −3.75 units (64 bets)**

➡️ Total (Mar 2025 – Jan 2026): +528.58 units

* November includes incomplete data due to a bot outage between 11th–25th November.
** January 2026 includes incomplete data due to the bot not loading markets and not placing bets between 18th–27th January.

📊 Performance by 300-Bet Cycles (Meaningful Sample Sizes)

Because wins tend to arrive in clusters and losing runs are a natural part of variance, calendar months can exaggerate short-term swings.

To better reflect how the edge behaves in practice, performance is also reviewed in rolling blocks of approximately 300 bets, which represent a more statistically meaningful sample size.

Live Results by Cycle

• Bets 1–300: +277 units (ROI +92%)

• Bets 301–600: +116 units (ROI +39%)

• Bets 601–900: +86 units (ROI +29%)

• Bets 901–1,200: +63 units (ROI +21%)

• Bets 1,201–1,500: −11 units (near flat, normal variance)

(The latest block is still incomplete and not yet representative.)

🧠 Why This Matters

Viewed across larger sample sizes, a clear pattern emerges:

• Strong positive expectancy over time

• Natural cooling periods where variance temporarily dominates

• Reversion back toward long-term performance

This is exactly how a genuine edge behaves in live markets.

Short-term swings — whether positive or negative — are expected and built into the strategy’s design.

The purpose of these larger performance blocks is not to eliminate drawdowns, but to show that over time the strategy consistently returns toward positive expectancy.

📌 Key Takeaway

Monthly figures provide visibility.

300-bet cycles provide understanding.

For higher-odds strategies, long-term performance can only be properly judged over meaningful sample sizes.