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The Dog Pound Results

All results shown below are based on live testing using a fully automated setup via BF Bot Manager. A 2% Betfair commission has been applied to all published figures.

This is a high-variance research framework operating at average odds of approximately 12.68 with a strike rate of approximately 10.4%. Performance should therefore be evaluated over large sample sizes rather than isolated weeks or months.

Headline Performance (Live as at 5 August 2026)

Total Bets: 2,100

Total Profit: +466.54 units

ROI: ~22%

Strike Rate: 10.4%

Average Odds: 12.68

Longest Losing Run: 79 bets

Max Drawdown: ~−136 units

Monthly Performance

Publishing monthly results is an important part of the Trade Carefully philosophy. While individual months can be volatile, documenting every period—both good and bad—provides a transparent record of the framework's live performance.

  • March 2025: +198.64 units

  • April 2025: +59.06 units

  • May 2025: +7.21 units

  • June 2025: +134.55 units

  • July 2025: +27.77 units

  • August 2025: +63.95 units

  • September 2025: +28.34 units

  • October 2025: −3.61 units

  • November 2025: +1.63 units

  • December 2025: +14.80 units

  • January 2026: −3.75 units

  • February 2026: −27.94 units

  • March 2026: +6.26 units

  • April 2026: −68.99 units

  • May 2026: +23.16 units

  • June 2026: −29.60 units

  • July 2026: +41.83 units

Total: +466.54 units

300-Bet Cycle Performance

Whilst monthly reporting provides transparency, the framework is best assessed over 300-bet cycles, which help smooth out the natural variance associated with high-odds, low strike-rate frameworks.

  • Cycle 1: +277.10 units

  • Cycle 2: +115.61 units

  • Cycle 3: +85.57 units

  • Cycle 4: +63.08 units

  • Cycle 5: −10.89 units

  • Cycle 6: −61.60 units

  • Cycle 7: −2.40 units

Cycle 7 completed during July 2026. Although it finished marginally negative, it represented a significant improvement on Cycle 6 and demonstrated the stabilisation of the framework following its most challenging completed cycle to date.

Key Observations

  • The framework has now surpassed 2,100 live documented bets.

  • The wider Trade Carefully research archive now contains more than 49,000 UK greyhound market observations.

  • July finished +41.83 units, recovering a significant portion of June's drawdown.

  • Every completed cycle adds another layer of evidence, reinforcing the importance of evaluating performance over large sample sizes rather than individual months.

  • High variance remains an inherent characteristic of this framework, with extended losing runs and difficult periods expected over time.

  • Results shown were generated using BF Bot Manager. Users employing alternative software or manual execution should not expect identical qualifying selections or identical results.

Trade Carefully Research Framework – Now Available

Following more than 49,000 UK greyhound market observations and 2,100 live documented bets, the first edition of the Trade Carefully Research Framework is now available.

Rather than selling a betting strategy, the framework documents the complete research journey behind this project—from raw market observations through to a live-tested implementation. It includes the research methodology, mindset, master research archive, automation files, live implementation and ongoing research updates.

If you're interested in understanding how the framework was built, rather than simply seeing the results, visit the Trade Carefully Research Framework page to learn more.

Trade Carefully remains committed to publishing every month's performance, regardless of outcome. The objective has never been to sell certainty, but to document an evidence-based research process built on transparency, discipline and large sample sizes.

The next results update will be published at the end of August 2026.

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Disclaimer

Trade Carefully is blog that focusses on using data-driven approaches to build the right mindset to have any chance of success long term. Sports Trading is an extremely difficult path to follow. It requires strict discipline, patience, and can result in losses.  

 

If you struggle with gambling addition, please get the support you need from organisations such as GambleAware

2026 - TradeCarefully

Contact: support@tradecarefully.com

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